UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays
Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both men come into this battle career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a big factor and there’s a not many more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and relies on finishing competitions. At a five round fight this approach is a risky one that is going to backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of their own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent outcome. On the toes both guys can get their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet wild and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the ground. Since Santos tires the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities should find Blachowicz a finish when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is fast with his in and out striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing in some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the feet with a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw competitive combinations. The major differential lies in the grappling department. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high hazard admissions off his back. This strategy succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for excursions and takedowns into the mat where he favours control and top position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) odds. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.70 Units.
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